This wraps up a frantic final week of the election race, one in which Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen faced off in an insult-filled final debate, and which also saw a major hacking of the Macron campaign just the other day. Gee, I wonder who was behind that one. Is it the same group of people who hacked the DNC? It would not surprise me.
By the way, this result is going to end up being one of the all-time blowouts, similar to what happened in the Canelo Alvarez-Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. fight in Las Vegas. Macron is going to win by a landslide, simply because Le Pen is too big a lunatic and the people of France know it. Don’t listen to anyone in the media trying to tell you that somehow this race is in doubt or that the polls might be wrong. This talk is surely “fake news.”
And don’t believe anyone who will call Macron’s win a “victory for the EU.” Folks, this vote is not a referendum on the EU! In fact, a lot of people are voting for Macron in spite of his EU policies, or any of his policies for that matter. The only reason they are voting for Macron is because he’s not Le Pen! That’s it! Anyway, these commentators in the media once again know nothing. That is all I have to say for now.
I am not going to talk about Trump right now. (I read that he fired somebody. What a surprise.) Instead, I’m going to talk about the latest in the French presidential election, which is rapidly descending into chaos. But more on that in a moment.
We now have a clearer idea on who the candidates are. The Socialists finished their nomination process this weekend and have chosen Benoit Hamon, described as a maverick hard-left socialist, as their nominee over Manuel Valls, who was favored.
This proves to me that voters in France are in a foul, anti-establishment mood, regardless of ideology, because this is surely a slap at the more centrist leadership of the party. Also, I think the Socialists have now officially thrown away this presidential election. This guy they nominated is way too far left for this electorate. Among other things, Hamon wants a universal basic income and wants the work week reduced to 32 hours. How these ideas are even viable, I don’t know. The French Socialists ought to give up.
I guess the other big news from the trail is that the Francois Fillon campaign is imploding as we speak over allegations that he hired his wife Penelope for what are being described as phoney jobs where she drew a big fat salary for doing nothing.
Fillon is denying wrongdoing and says he will stand down if criminally charged over this, but his ship has been sinking for weeks now. His first-round margin against the centre-left independent Emmanuel Macron (himself a rebel-maverick candidate) is down to almost nothing, according to the polls. The way things are going, Fillon could be out of the race by the end of the week! We could very easily see a final presidential runoff round between, get this, Macron on the left and Front National leader Marine Le Pen on the far right. Le Pen, incidentally, is in the first round lead right now according to the polls.
If Macron-vs.-Le Pen happens, it will mean both main French parties’ nominees will be out of the running for President, and what a shock result that would be. Politics in France is going all bat crazy — just like what’s been happening in the ‘States.
The big news today in the French presidential election is that Socialist one-term President Francois Hollande announced today he is not going to run again.
This news may shock some people but I sort of figured that something like this might happen, given Hollande’s absolute rock-bottom poll numbers and all the stories circulating about members of his own party threatening to run against him, etc.
The larger question now is what this might mean for the French presidential election, and whether this will give the Socialists a fighting chance with whoever they nominate. Maybe they will have a more viable candidate than Hollande would have been, but honestly I don’t think it will change the big picture much. I still see the voters holding the Socialists accountable for all the problems France has been suffering lately. I think we’ll ultimately get Francois Fillon (conservative) against Marine Le Pen (populist/nationalist/quasi-Fascist) in the final presidential runoff, but the first round of voting might end up being a little bit more interesting.